NFL 2025 Week 11 Prequel
Thursday, November 13, 2025, 8pm
New York Patriots (-11 1/2) at New York Jets — Yes, the Patriots are the far superior team. However, the Jets have won two straight. The spread is too big for a road team on prime time against a team that is hungry and desperate. A garbage touchdown could defeat the spread. Patriots win but fail to cover
Sunday, November 16, 9:30am
Washington Commanders at Miami Dolphins (-2 1/2) — Both teams are awful but the Dolphins are coming off a big emotional home win over Buffalo. The Commanders are just too injured. The Dolphins are less injured. At home, go with the team that is not completely bruised and battered. Dolphins cover
1pm
Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers (-5 1/2) — The Steelers have looked ugly the last couple of weeks but there is zero reason to back the Bengals until their starting quarterback returns from injury. nevertheless, these teams are fierce rivals, which can make for a close game. The Steelers should handle business, but not in a blowout. Steelers win but fail to cover
Los Angeles Chargers (-2 1/2) at Jacksonville Jaguars — The Jaguars blew a 19 point fourth quarter lead last week. The Chargers have a very good defense. Both quarterbacks are great but the Jaguars have played badly in recent weeks. Go with the better defense. Chargers cover
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Buffalo Bills (-5 1/2) — The Buccaneers lost at home to New England. Now they go on the road and face a very good but angry Bills team who was humiliated at Miami last week. Expect the Bills to rebound, but both of these teams play close games. A blowout is unlikely. Bills win but fail to cover
Chicago Bears at Minnesota Vikings (-3) — The Bears overcame a 10 point fourth quarter deficit to win at home last week. Meanwhile, the Vikings looked awful in a home loss against Baltimore. Under normal circumstances the Vikings would win easily, but the Bears are overachieving and the Vikings are underachieving. Go with the trend. Upset special, Bears win outright
Houston Texans (-7 1/2) at Tennessee Titans — The Texans overcame a 19 point fourth deficit to stun Jacksonville. Now they just have to avoid a hangover against a horrendous Tennessee team with an interim coach. The Texans have a good defense. Yet the spread is too high for a road team playing with a backup quarterback. Davis Mills led a 26 point fourth quarter last week, but that lightning will not strike twice. Texans win but fail to cover
Carolina Panthers at Atlanta Falcons (-3 1/2) — Both of these teams are utterly inconsistent The Panthers won this matchup in Carolina 30-0. Yet last week at home the Panthers laid an egg in losing at home to lifeless New Orleans. The Falcons took Indianapolis to the limit in Berlin before losing in overtime. With these teams, the question is which version of them will show up. Go with the home field. Falcons cover
Green Bay Packers (-8 1/2) at New York Giants — The Giants just fired Brian Daboll after their latest meltdown. The Packers are coming off of a brutal home loss against Philadelphia. The Packers are the better team, but it is common for a team to fight hard for an interim coach, especially in his first game at home. Jackson Dart is out with a concussion, but Russell Wilson has not forgotten everything. Packers win but fail to cover
4pm
Seattle Seahawks at Los Angeles Rams (-2 1/2) — This is why we watch football. A pair of 7-2 division rivals face off for the division lead. The Rams have the better offense but the Seahawks have the better defense. Home field is not an issue. The Seahawks blasted Arizona in a game that was over by halftime. The Rams are coming off of an emotional road win at hated san Francisco. Go with the defense. Upset special, Seahawks win outright
San Francisco 49ers (-3) at Arizona Cardinals — The 49ers looked awful in a home loss to the Rams. The Cardinals are just awful. If ever there was a week for the 49ers to regroup, this would be it. 49ers cover
Baltimore Ravens (-8 1/2) at Cleveland Browns — The Browns lost to a Jets team that doubled their victories on the season with that game. The Ravens were 1-5 injured mess but have won three straight since Lamar Jackson returned. Yet the Browns have a good defense, which should be enough to defeat the spread at home. Ravens win but fail to cover
Kansas City Chiefs (-3 1/2) at Denver Broncos — The Chiefs have won the AFC West for the last 9 years. Yet the Broncos currently have the division lead. Patrick Mahomes is still all world but Bo Nix is quite good as well. The Broncos have the better defense and the home field. Sean Payton will certainly use being home underdogs as rocket fuel to motivate his team. If the Broncos are ever going to win the division, this is the game. Upset special, Broncos win outright.
8pm
Detroit Lions at Philadelphia Eagles (-1 1/2) — The Eagles are coming off a brutal road win at Green Bay. While they are at home, the Lions offense is back in championship form. The Eagles are the defending champions but the Lions still believe they are the best team. Jalen Hurts is slightly better than Jared Goff, while Saquon Barkley and Jahmyr Gibbs are both running wild. As well as the Lions are playing, this is one to go with the home field, especially if cold or bad weather slows the Detroit offense. Eagles cover
Monday, November 17, 8pm
Dallas Cowboys (-3 1/2) at Las Vegas Raiders — The Raiders have a good defense and a miserable offense. The Cowboys have a good offense and a miserable defense. Home field means nothing for this game. The Raiders fired their special teams coach after two heartbreaking losses. The Raiders lost by a missed field goal and a blocked punt at Denver. The Cowboys can’t stop anyone. The Raiders fight to the end. Yet they find ways to lose. Cowboys win but fail to cover