Archive for the ‘Uncategorized’ Category

Kender MacGowan: America’s Garden Gnome

Friday, June 17th, 2022
Dear God almighty. Kender MacGowan is gone.
He was my friend and one of the best warriors I have ever known. He was 53 years old but had been in bad health since the day he was born. He fought his whole life.
He loved his family, horses, and Renaissance festivals. On May 1st, he went to a Renaissance festival. Later that day he went into the hospital and did not make it out. He knew. On his last day of living before entering the hospital, he did what he loved most.
He had a terrific sense of humor, a ZZ-Top beard, and a proud self-declared reputation as “America’s Garden Gnome.”
His commitment to political combat stemmed from his desire to forego everything he had for his “sacred honor.” To say he was proud to be American would be an understatement.
Although his real name was Michael Groomes, many of us knew him as Kender Macgowan. Now Mark Zuckerberg can finally stop banning him. He will no longer be commenting on Facebook or anywhere else.
Now Kender is with God. I know he is in heaven, but he will probably still be raising a little hell.
Goodbye, Kender. You’ll never be forgotten. Ever.

DJIA crashes below 30,000

Thursday, June 16th, 2022

DJIA crashes below 30,000

I have been posting a lot about stocks lately because I know some of you are worried. I hope these posts help. 
Quick stock market wrapup thoughts:
Although the Dow finally fell below 30,000 and hit a new low for the year, it is NOT in a bear market yet. A bear market is not a feeling. It is an actual specific term that refers to a 20% drop from the high. The NASDAQ is down over 33% and the S&P 500 is down over 22%. However, the Dow is still down less than 20% from its all time high of 36,952. That was January 5, 2022. Only 5 months ago.
A 20% drop would be 29,562. The Dow bottomed out today at 29,740. It stubbornly refused to go lower. Now if it falls below 29,562, all heck could break loose.
However, during the pandemic of 2020, the Dow dropped 40%. So there could be plenty of pain ahead.
On the other hand, if the Dow can get back above 31,000, it would be a positive sign. It really needs to get back above 33,300 for me to feel better. That is 10% from the high.
We are not in a recession yet. A recession is not a feeling. It is also a specific term referring to 2 consecutive quarters of negative economic growth. We had negative growth last quarter. If this quarter that ends June 30th turns out to be negative, then in July we will officially be in a recession. However, that might not happen.
I want all my friends to lead a better life, and that starts with healthier finances. For those of you who can ride out miserable economic times, you will be much better off in a few years.

Stock market summary in various forms of English

Monday, June 13th, 2022
Stock Market summary in various forms of English:
Great Britain: “Beastly day, what?”
USA: “Things are f*cked.”
Me: “Liz Warren in spandex levels of ugly.”
France: “Vive la surrender!”
Ukraine: “At least your stock market wasn’t bombed today. Thanks for forgetting about us.”
China: “Fentanyl is down 10%. We must fix the supply chain so we can ship it faster.”
Iran: “Death to America! Now we can’t even afford to buy the materials for our nuclear bombs!”

Stock Market 2022 Capitulation Day

Monday, June 13th, 2022
There is something in the stock market known as “capitulation day.”
Capitulation day is the day when stocks are down so much that everyday investors give up. They say, “This is not for me, I’m done.” Then they sell everything.
Unless you need the money right away, do NOT sell everything on capitulation day. Capitulation day is when the the big investors get back in and start buying. They make their money based on your panicking.
I have no idea if today is capitulation day. I suspect it is not. However, with stocks, everything is based on your “time horizon.”
If you have 10-15 years left to invest, then stay in the market and ride it out. I did some buying today. It could go lower, but passing up good companies that are 50% off in the hopes they are 60 or 70% off is not what I’m about.
Again, if you are nearing the end of your working life, that is one thing. If you have over a decade of working life left, do not panic.
I’ve been doing this since 1994. The U.S. stock market always bounces back in the long run. This is because America always bounces back in the long run.
I believe in the U.S. stock market because I believe in the USA. I believe in American ingenuity, American corporate creativity, and American exceptionalism. Every time we have faced tough times, we have bounced back.
Are these tough times? Sure. However, this is not Pearl Harbor or 9/11. It’s not even the 2008 financial crash. Not yet anyway.
I am a rah-rah cheerleader for America, but not just because of a sense of duty and patriotism. I believe in America because the evidence tells me that betting against America and Americans is a fool’s errand.
Do what is best for your personal life, health, wealth and those you love. Do not have rose-colored glasses. There could be plenty of short-term pain ahead.
In the long run, I still believe U.S. equities are the best place to put your money.
1) Buy good companies.
2) Roll over the dividends.
3) Don’t sell.
4) Don’t die.
Also remember the words that are on my bedroom wall.
(Not the stuff about getting paddled by Mistress Evil. The other words.)
Investing (like life) requires character, guts, and the knowledge that at the heights of ebullience and the depths of despair, this too shall pass.
If you have a reasonable time horizon and you own good companies, do not let panic drive you out of the stock market.
Keep your cash ready. When everyone else is ready to give up, be bold and brave.
Capitulation day will come. When it does, be buying, not selling.
Like every trader/investor, I get plenty of things wrong. Yet in the long run, I turn out to be right. That is my story because it is the story of the stock market. It is also the story of the USA. We get some things wrong, but in the long run on the big things, we get it right.
Stay calm.

The TYGRRRR EXPRESS turns 15

Friday, March 11th, 2022
15 years ago today on March 11, 2007, the TYGRRRR EXPRESS was born. I chose March 11 because it was the 3 year anniversary of the Madrid bombing and the midpoint of 9/11.
I never thought people would care what I had to say. Yet somehow a tiny blog turned into 6 books, over 200 t-shirt designs, and a national professional speaking career that has taken me to all 50 states.
On March 11, 2022, I thank almighty God and anyone who has ever supported the TYGRRRR EXPRESS.
God bless you all.

1/21/22 stock market musings

Friday, January 21st, 2022
For those of you watching the stock market go blood red, a little perspective is necessary.
A correction is defined as a 10% drop from the high.
A bear market is defined as a 20% drop from the high.
The DOW (DJIA) peaked intraday at 36,952. Let’s say 37,000 for simplicity sake. That was on January 5, 2022. The all time high was only 2 weeks ago. A 10% drop would take it down 3,700 points to 33,300. Since January 5, we have fallen to an intraday low today of 34,230. The DOW would have to drop another 1,000 points to enter correction territory. So while the DOW has shed a lot of points in the last few days, it is still less than 10% off its all time high.
The NASDAQ is another matter entirely. The NASDAQ is very tech heavy, and tech stocks tend to be more volatile than the blue chip stocks in the DOW. The NASDAQ hit an intraday high of 16,212 on November 22. That was 2 months ago, a longer period of time. Let’s say 16,200 again for simplicity. The NASDAQ closed today at 13,769 at the low of the day. The NASDAQ is 15% off of the all-time high.
In the 2000 crash that led to the bear market, the NASDAQ started collapsing in March of 2000. The DOW did not fall apart until November of 2000. Again, tech stocks are more volatile. Bear markets normally last 12 to 18 months. This was a nasty bear market that lasted 3 years. On the flip side, the March 2020 bear market was the opposite extreme. Stocks dropped 40%, but one month later were back to normal.
Other things to think about: In a bull market, stocks do not go straight up. They go up in a jagged edge. Yet in a bear market, stocks can go straight down. The reason for this is that financial markets are motivated by 2 things: 1) Fear 2) Greed.
Fear is ALWAYS more powerful than greed. When things are going up, the big boys say “enough of this” and knock it down in the short run. Yet when things are dropping like a rock, the big boys are sitting in the same scared fetal position as everyone else, just with more money. Buying at the low seems smart, but when it comes to real money the big boys are like “I’m not touching this.” The expression is “Never try to catch a falling knife.”
There are always opportunities to get in and out of the stock market. Those who try to time the market often get clocked. Those who are patient frequently end up ok provided they invested in solid companies rather than speculative gambles.
Things are still too high for me to consider buying. I’d like to see a larger drop before doing any more buying. Yet I do not feel comfortable selling either. I could take profits, but I am in this for the long term. If something of mine drops tremendously, I’ll add to my positions.
For now I am in a holding pattern. In life, I am one of the least patient people you will ever meet. With my investing, I am incredibly patient. It is the only thing I am patient about.
I can afford to be patient because of my “time horizon.” As long as someone has at least 10-15 more years until retirement, they can afford to be patient. At 50, to quote the Rolling Stones, “Time is on my side.”
People over 70 should consider taking some profits off the table. People under 30 should just shut up and let it ride, again provided they are in sensible stocks to begin with.
There is no better long-term investment than the United States stock market. That has been proven for over a century. Rule 1 as a stock trader is to obey the pattern. Do what the stock tells you to do. Don’t argue with the market. Until the pattern changes, stick with the pattern. The trend is your friend. There is zero evidence that any other nation is in position to supplant the United States as the dominant global power any time soon.
America works. The stock market works. The optimists know that brighter days are ahead because we Americans will make it so. The pessimists grudgingly concede that we have the worst situation except for every other nation in worse shape. So even when things are awful we are the best by default.
Do not panic sell or panic buy. There will always be another opportunity. Now to hold my positions, check my portfolio thoroughly, and most likely make zero changes for now. When the evidence and data changes, I will change as well.
My overall philosophy remains the same:
1) Buy good companies
2) Roll over the dividends (unless you need the income)
3) Don’t sell (unless absolutely necessary)
4) Don’t die (don’t take crazy risks like bungee jumping)
eric

My birthday: 50 happy memories upon turning 50

Sunday, January 9th, 2022

https://www.commdiginews.com/politics-2/commentary/my-birthday-grateful-for-50-happy-memories-upon-turning-50-142004/

2022: We…can…do…this.

Saturday, January 1st, 2022

2022: We…can…do…this

What the heck is that beeping sound?

(Knocks the phone off the hook, keeps banging the snooze alarm)

A voice tells me it’s my pager. My pager is black, so finding it in the dark is the needle in the haystack equivalent. A lucky smack knocks it against the wall, where it may or may not have shattered. The beeping continues. Why does anyone need a pager anymore anyway?

Who the heck is texting me at this ungodly hour of…(either 7 a.m., 1 p.m., or 1 a.m. …it looks blurry)?

Oh, no. It is 5 a.m., and my first radio interview of the New Year is with the morning man of an East Coast station. Time to pretend to sound coherent and go back to sleep. Oh no, wait, that radio interview was several years ago.

Great, happy wishes for the new year. Thanks. Whoever you are, it is too early to talk to you.

One year the person on the telephone insisted it was 1 p.m. After explaining to them that they were on the East Coast, and that 1 p.m. EST is 10 a.m. in Los Angeles, they grew impatient. They knew how to tell time, and that it was 4 p.m. EST, hence 1 p.m. my time.

Sure, getting up and writing my column is an option. It’s a new year, and starting the year off with a flurry of brilliance might be helpful. Forget it. This column is recycled from years ago. It’s also hours late. That is what happens when people sleep in because of New Year’s Eve revelry.

The first person to talk politics gets blistered in my column … tomorrow.

Bowl games? There is DVR. Besides, does anybody care who wins the Poulan Weed Eater Bowl, the Lack of Insight.com Bowl, the Fishbowl, the RU486 Morning After Bowl, The California Metrosexual Pride Bowl, or any other game that may or may not be made up?

Speaking of the morning after, does anybody remember the David Byrne Talking Heads song from the movie “Less than Zero?  The song is called “Once In A Lifetime.”

“This is not my beautiful house. This is not my beautiful wife. What have I done? How did I get here?”

It then occurs to me that the beeping sounds are the voices in my head telling me I am too old, even at 49, to stay out this late. Even without alcohol, exhaustion has set in.

Get out of bed? Work calls in (whenever) hours. Better rest up before my tyrant of a boss complains. Such is the life of the self-employed.

Get up now? Somehow stagger to the shower, get dressed, make it out of my condo to go … where?

The stores are closed. Maybe they are open. Too tired to find out.

My birthday is in just over a week. Time to pace myself.

Work on my website? All that takes is staggering to my couch. Oh, no. My IT guy has not finished it yet. Oh, wait, he did years ago. I clicked on the wrong site.

Go on Jdate and search for women? Not a bad idea, except it is too tiring to check their Adams Apples. This is not the year for a boyfriend, and am not sure that my eyes can tell the difference right now. Besides, Jdate is so 2014. Now it is Tinder, JSwipe and JCrush. No, wait. Those are so 2019.

Shop on eBay? No. bad idea. Buying stuff when not at full capacity is problematic. Who needs another mountain goat? Dang creature gets his horns in my hide. Not a comfy way to wake up. Calm down boy, you’ll get some straw to graze on upon my waking up.

Work on my record album? Although again, world, just because my hair is long, that does not mean my band exists. The best instrument is the triangle, because that tells me lunch is ready. I could work on growing my hair even longer, although I didn’t do much to start. I sat. It grew.

Ahh, yes, lunch. Get up and eat something. My microwave is slow, and a five minute microwave dinner takes almost 15 minutes. Read the paper? It is cold outside my building where the stand is, and it only takes coins. Reading the paper online is tiring, and my printer is not working. At least the lifestyle section makes a great placemat for eating. Oh, wait. That stand does not exist anymore. Reading the paper online it is.

Staying in bed for only a couple more hours until (whatever the big and little hands say) would allow me to stay up all night and be totally exhausted for work tomorrow. Again, my boss is a tyrant.

Running errands … not gonna happen.

Every morning, a four word prayer starts my day. My elbows are used to try and leverage them against my bed to prop me up. Placing my alarm clock on the other side of the room failed, since ripping the cord out of the wall solved that problem.

As for the Jewish brunette who stole the covers, her voice was not a problem last night, although if she opens her trap today she will receive a more caustic reception than usual.

Oh wait, she already left. Here is a note. “Tried to wake you, but that was a losing battle. By the way, you have nothing but soda in your fridge. Talk to you soon.” oh, wait, I think that happened over a decade ago. This is 2022, not 2005.

She is a liar. There are potato chips in my fridge as well. Why they are there remains a mystery, but it saves having to remember which cabinet they are in. One-stop shopping  is the way to go.

Besides, combing my hair for her was enough. Not doing it this morning, proud “retrosexual” that is me.

At least having the decency to say some morning prayers would be appropriate.

“Hey God…those people I pray for every night…yeah those people, the same ones…look after them again.”

Back to sleep, despite every attempt to wake up. The home phone is turned off, the cell is off as well, and the pager is still shattered, in addition to being disconnected years ago.

There may have been a car crash outside my building followed by 911 calls and sirens, but telling everybody to “keep it down,” solved that problem. A brief nightmare of me being late for work was averted when I realized my location to me was known if necessary.

Four televisions in the living room, and none in the bedroom. Who thought that up? Oh yeah, a television in the bedroom would promote laziness. Besides, trying to figure out which remote to use would cause me to break them all as if they were my pager.

Ok, here it is. Come on, elbows, do your stuff. Rise, young lad, rise! Awaken thy exhausted tired eyes!

Why is God shouting? Oh wait, that is my over-dramatization of God.

Time to set the alarm now to avoid missing work tomorrow. Where was it thrown? Threw it? Oh, screw it.

Ok, time for my four word prayer. It has gotten me this incredibly terribly far. Time to contemplate getting out of bed.

“We…can…do…this.”

Happy 2022 all. Except for the person who woke me up earlier. Whoever you are, I still can’t stand you, even though you are doing me a favor.

Ten hours and 16 bowl games later, there is only one thing left to do.

Time for a nap. Good riddance to Pandemic 2021. Happy 2022.

Zzzzz.

eric

NYE 2021 With Lil Jon & Brian Schatz

Friday, December 31st, 2021

https://www.commdiginews.com/politics-2/commentary/celebrate-new-years-eve-with-lil-jon-and-senator-brian-schatz-hawaii-141866/

Tefillin in all 50 states

Thursday, November 18th, 2021

As of August 9, 2021, I have now put on Tefillin in all 50 states. 

Here is my story.

eric

https://www.commdiginews.com/life/faith/an-expression-of-faith-traveling-50-states-meeting-jews-and-putting-on-tefillin-141120/